ASIA/IRAN - Is the attack on Iran a dangerous gamble?

Rome (Agenzia Fides) – The attack launched last night (June 13) by Israel against Iran raises the level of the "global war in pieces" repeatedly denounced by Pope Francis. In fact, Iran has described last night's attacks as "a declaration of war." The Israeli government has justified the military operation, (which is expected to last for weeks), to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons.
Just yesterday, June 12, the Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) approved a resolution condemning Iran for "non-compliance" with its nuclear obligations. The text, drafted by London, Paris, and Berlin (E3) in collaboration with Washington, was approved by 19 of the 35 countries, with three votes against and 11 absences. On the night of June 12-13, the Israeli attack, clearly planned for a long time, was launched.
The initial attack targeted the Natanz uranium enrichment complex, but not the other facilities of Iran's atomic program (we will see if they will be attacked later), air defenses, and missile bases capable of reaching Israel. These targets were followed by the targeted assassinations of Iranian scientists and military officials. Among the assassinated figures was Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's political advisor, Ali Shamkhani, a key figure in the Iranian political system who had engaged with the Trump administration to allow Iran to continue its civilian nuclear program.
Shamkhani had delivered a moderate message during the negotiations between the United States and Iran, stating that "a solution is at hand through diplomacy." He also played an important role in normalizing relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia.
The Trump administration has stated, through Secretary of State Marco Rubio, that "Israel has taken unilateral action against Iran" and that the United States "is not involved in attacks against Iran, and our top priority is to protect US forces in the region." Israel has informed us that it believes this action was necessary for its self-defense." In a message posted on Truth Social, President Trump stated: "There has already been significant death and destruction, but there is still time to end this massacre, as the next planned attacks will be even more brutal," implying that he is aware of Israel's upcoming moves. Are these Israeli attacks coordinated with Washington to obtain Iranian concessions at the negotiating table? Or has the situation gotton out of control? It is also worth asking whether there are deep disagreements within the Trump administration over the launch of Israeli military operations. The Director of National Intelligence, who oversees the 18 US spy agencies, released a video on June 10 in which she warned that humanity is "on the brink of nuclear annihilation," which could be interpreted as distancing herself from an attack with unpredictable consequences. (L.M.) (Agenzia Fides, 13/6/2025)

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